|
|
|
Note: You must be registered in order to post a reply.
To register, click here. Registration is FREE!
|
| T O P I C R E V I E W |
| gusfgus |
Posted - 03/10/2014 : 08:59:03
First of all, congrats to the Champs of the first 3 tournaments: HP Vandy, Cougars and South Forsyth. We’ve had the privilege of being knocked out by two of them. So, back by popular demand (actually there was zero demand) is the Baseball Power Index (BPI). The biggest change this year is the number of teams that I will be tracking. Last year, I followed 58 teams, but the bottom half of that group just did not play enough against other BPI teams. This year I plan to track about 28 teams. If a team plays in one of the following 4 tournaments it should be on this list: Spring Frost, Slugfest (Division 1), TBS Georgia Qualifier or Atlanta SNIT. For those of you not familiar with the BPI, it is based upon a Bill James formula that predicts the number of wins a team should have over the course of the season based upon runs scored vs. runs allowed. I added a strength of schedule component in an effort to smooth out some anomalies. Taking Vandy as an example below, over the course of a 162 game season, Vandy is predicted to win 138.24 games. It is early in the season, so you will note a couple of possible issues that will work its way out over the course of the season. Two that stick out to me are the Game-On Backyard Bashers (they made a run in the Spring Frost silver bracket) and South Forsyth Giants (took a 13-2 loss to Combat in pool play which skewed their run differential). I only track scores of BPI teams that play each other. If you play a team not on the list, it is not included in the calculation. That is a very long way of saying, here’s the list:
1.-HOME PLATE VANDAGRIFF-138.24 – TC SPRING FROST
2.-6-4-3 DP COUGARS-125.63 – TC SLUGFEST
3.-GAME-ON BACKYARD BASHERS-116.32
4.-HOME PLATE SCHMITS-112.82
5.-ELITE GAMERS-112.54
6.-HOPEWELL HAWKS-111.06
7.-SIGNATURE PARK COMBAT-102.32
8.-SIGNATURE PARK STORM-95.01
9.-EAST COBB BRAVES-93.81
10.-TEAM ELITE SILVER-90.30
11.-EAST COBB ASTROS-74.40
12.-TEAM ELITE SOUTH FORSYTH-73.36 – TBS GEORGIA QUALIFER
13.-GEORGIA RAIDERS-70.86
14.-HOME PLATE KENTY-66.64
15.-CARROLLTON RENEGADES-66.30
16.-TEAM DEMARINI BLACK-63.51
17.-ACWORTH WARRIORS-51.69
18.-GEORGIA ROADRUNNERS-48.37
19.-GAME-ON LOOKOUTS-45.82
20.-6-4-3 DP JAGUARS-44.32
21.-TOP TIER BASEBALL-38.67
22.-TEAM HALO-32.31
23.-SEB BLACK-30.96
24.-TSA TITANS-24.02
25.-COBB ACES-(-3.38)
26.-TEAM ELITE BLACK-(-7.56)
27.-HALO BUCKS-(-17.09)
28.-EAST ATLANTA BASEBALL-NO GAMES PLAYED
*I am tracking the following stats for these teams: BPI, Runs Scored, Runs Allowed, Games Played, Wins, Projected Wins based on games played to date, Differential between Wins to date and Projected Wins, Avg Runs Scored, Avg Runs Allowed, Avg Run Differential, and Strength of Schedule. |
|
|
| Georgia Travel Baseball - NWBA |
© 2000-22 NWBA |
 |
|
|
